Yesterday, I published a recap of quarterbacks drafted in the first round in the modern draft era, commencing with the introduction of the rookie wage scale in 2011. That piece culminated a series of three articles which were intended to remind people of the hit and miss nature of drafting QBs.
“Generational” draft prospects sometimes become elite starting quarterbacks, like Payton Manning. But sometimes they are exceeded by prospects that few saw coming, like Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes. On the flip side, “sure thing” prospects, like Ryan Leaf, RG3 and Sam Darnold don’t always pan out.