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How much did top 2024 QB prospects depend on elite receiving talent?

This is the time of year where virtually every aspect of top prospects, particularly quarterback prospects, gets analyzed to death. This piece is no exception. What I’ve done here is collect the data on each passer’s reliance on his top receivers both for yards and touchdowns, as well as the projected draft positions of those receivers.

Expected draft position is based on the PFF Big Board as of March 20, 2024. Future draft projections are based on collected analyses and best professional judgement of the author.

Let’s dive into it:

Caleb Williams (USC)

Passing Yards: 3,633

Passing TDs: 30

Top Receiving Options (and likely draft position, if applicable):

Tahj Washington (#155)

Receiving Yards (% of total): 1,062 (29%)

Receiving TDs (% of total): 8 (27%)

Brenden Rice (#95)

Receiving Yards (% of total): 791 (22%)

Receiving TDs (% of total): 12 (40%)

Percent Receiving Yards from Top Receivers: 51%

Percent Receiving TDs from Top Receivers: 67%

Avg Draft Slot of Top Receivers: #125

Jayden Daniels (LSU)

Passing Yards: 3,812

Passing TDs: 40

Top Receiving Options (and likely draft position, if applicable):

Malik Nabers (#4)

Receiving Yards (% of total): 1,569 (41%)

Receiving TDs (% of total): 14 (35%)

Brian Thomas Jr.