A few days ago, I published the results of QBs drafted in the first round over the decade from 2012 through 2021. The data showed that no QB drafted between the first overall pick and pick #5 in that period had achieved the kind of success that fans hope for when their team picks a QB that early in the draft. The most successful QBs picked 2nd or 3rd overall were Marcus Mariota, Carson Wentz and Robert Griffin III. In fact, no team has really hit on a starting QB in this range between the Falcons selecting Matt Ryan 3rd overall in 2008 and the Texans striking gold with C.
Don’t Panic, Commanders Fans, Hit Rates for QBs at Pick #2 Could Have Been Higher
