It’s very simple now; if the Commanders beat the Falcons in Week 17, they will lock in a playoff seeding.
The Contenders
Washington can still finish ahead of the Packers for the 6th seed, but that would require the Packers to lose one more game than the Commanders in the final three weeks. That doesn’t seem highly likely this week, so we’ll focus on the five teams that can displace Washington from the 7th seed.
Two of those teams — the eventual winners of the NCF South and West — will be seeded 3rd and 4th, so Washington really only needs to fend off the three non-division winners.