HockeyViz’s model gave the Caps a 27% chance to win the Metro division at the start of the season and projected them to finish second in the league behind Tampa Bay. Dom Luszczyszyn’s model for The Athletic was a little more pessimistic, but it still had the Capitals likely to finish third in the division, but with a 71% chance to make the playoffs.
After years of under predicting the team, this year the team underachieved. So where did the Caps underachieve?
“I thought [Darcy] Kuemper was a strong add,” Luszczyszyn said.