Benjamin Disraeli once wrote that there are three kinds of lies in this world: lies, damned lies and statistics. At first glance, Donald Trump leading the polls backs the idea that there is meaningful support for his presidential run, and that he is the most likely person to win the Republican nomination for president.
A public opinion poll ostensibly measures who has the most public support and would get the most votes in an election.
At the time of this writing, Trump currently leads the Republican field, with the plurality of voters in opinion polls favoring him over a bloated Republican field.