The NCAA Tournament is off to a good start for the Virginia Cavaliers for two big reasons. The first one is obvious: Virginia didn't get upset by 16th-seeded Hampton, then beat Butler to advance to the Sweet 16.
But, also importantly, UVA's odds of making a Final Four and winning it all in Houston have increased because of the carnage in the Midwest region, where #10 Syracuse and #11 Gonzaga will play for a berth in the Elite Eight. (Purdue, who computers rank as marginally better than Iowa State, falling in the first round helps UVA's probability as well.