Metrics definitely aren’t everything. Games aren’t played on spreadsheets and the 10 players on the court, as well as the coaches leading them, are human. They’re going to make mistakes. Even when they execute perfectly on a play, a shot can still rim out or time can just run out. At the end of the day, a basketball game has a sample size of one and this can leave room for plenty of unexpected results. Just ask Eastern Illinois, which had a 0.2 percent chance to take down Iowa on the road in December, or any of the other 12 other squads that had a chance to win under five percent at tip-off but pulled off the upset.
The metrics say UConn men’s basketball is still elite
