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How coaching changes affect production on offense and defense

Last season's SP+ projections were accurate enough: Five of the top six teams in the preseason projections made the College Football Playoff -- No. 3 Oregon went unbeaten in the regular season, while No. 2 Ohio State won the national title -- and No. 4 Alabama and No. 8 Ole Miss nearly did. Boise State was projected as the best Group of 5 team and backed that up, and playoff surprise SMU started out ranked higher in SP+ than in the polls. The spreadsheets didn't see Indiana coming any better than the humans, and SP+ was just as blindsided by Florida State's historic collapse, but all in all, it was a solid performance.