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From Arsenal to Barcelona, Europe's most surprising overachievers and underachievers since the World Cup

Related Topics: Arsenal

At first glance, things haven't changed all that much since soccer's post-World Cup restart a month or so ago.

Arsenal and Manchester City have averaged more than two points per game in Premier League play, just as they did before the break. Barcelona have dropped only two points and extended their LaLiga lead. Napoli have continued to roll in Italy, and Bayern Munich have yet to lose a match and remain a heavy Bundesliga favorite (82% chance, per FiveThirtyEight).

But Bayern also haven't won a league match, and Barcelona's xG numbers hint at serious problems.