There's no getting around it.
On Friday, the Leafs signed unrestricted free agent LW Matt Martin to a four-year deal with an average annual value of $2,500,000. It was stupid.
A Preliminary Note: Why Don't We Just Wait And See
Matt Martin has played full or nearly full NHL seasons for the past six years. He is 27 years old. He is not a draft pick from a league we do not have substantial data for and he is not on the ascending part of his development curve. He is highly unlikely to get significantly better than he has been.