The question is simple enough: Which teams have the best and worst odds of winning at least one Stanley Cup over the next five years?
The answer isn’t simple at all. I know, because I’ve tried to figure it out three times now. The first was way back in 2015, when there were only 30 teams and some kid named Connor McDavid was about to debut. More recently, I tried again in 2018, in an effort I revisited a few weeks ago.
Did I get those lists right? No, and that’s part of the problem – you can’t, really, when you’re dealing with probabilities.