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First Quarter Report: Is this the same old Leafs?

For the last few years, I’ve done a report at the first, second and third quarter of each season that looks deeper into the team results than what the standings tell us. Over the years, this has gotten easier because Expected Goals models make discovering the path the team takes to their never-changing shot share very simple. This time I’m comparing the Leafs this season to the past two years. There’s not much to be gained by digging back into the tank season, so this is about the playoff team the Leafs have become.

The word shot in this post will always refer to Corsi, or all shots, unless otherwise indicated.