Canada is going to Qatar.
This is a fact. It cannot be denied. As things stand going into the final three match days of the CONCACAF World Cup qualifying cycle, Canada is assured of at least a spot in June’s inter-confederation playoff against the winner of the Oceania Football Confederation’s qualifying tournament. No sequence of results of the remaining games allows Canada to fall behind all of the USA, Mexico, Panama and Costa Rica. Any of those teams can still pass Canada, but not all at once. If Panama and Costa Rica each win out (and Costa Rica makes up the goal difference) that would mean the USA lost twice, preventing them from passing Canada.