This article is the second of a two-part series. Part One examined the need for the Blue Jays to add a long reliever. Part Two will project how the bullpen will perform as the rest of the 2018 season unfolds.
This article was written prior to the news release regarding Roberto Osuna’s arrest. The analysis does not account for the ramifications for the team due to Osuna’s legal issues.
Part Two – Will the bullpen continue to pitch well?
I will use two measures to forecast the ERA of the Blue Jays bullpen over the rest of the 2018 season: Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (“xFIP”) and Expected Weighted On-Base Average (“xwOBA”).