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Blue Jays: Just how bad a drafter was Mark Shapiro?

One of the knocks against new Blue Jays president Mark Shapiro is his drafting record while GM of the Cleveland Indians. While he is generally conceded to be an above-average trader, many writers say that the poor amateur draft choices that Cleveland made while he was GM from 2001-2010 contributed significantly to the limited success of that franchise over those years.

But is this criticism valid?

To see if this criticism was fair, I conducted a test. I took all of the Cleveland first-round picks from the 2002-2010 drafts and compared them to the next three players chosen in those drafts.