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Blue Jays: A tale of two projections for the 2018 season

Projection 1 – PECOTA: 78 wins – 84 losses, 767 runs scored, 796 runs against, .252/.324/.425

The first thing that automatically stands out to me here is that the 2018 Blue Jays pitching staff is projected to struggle, allowing nearly 800 runs. That’s an average of almost 4.9 runs per game allowed by the staff. The 2017 Blue Jays, with all the injuries to the rotation and inconsistency from the bullpen allowed 720 runs.

The second thing that stands out here is that Baseball Prospectus does see a bounce back with the bats. In 2017, the Blue Jays as a team hit .