Baseball is incredibly hard to predict. We can study the numbers and build expectations for the big leagues, but the truth is we never really know how things are going to shake out over the course of 162 games. For example, if you predicted the Twins would make the playoffs, or a Yankee rookie would hit 52 home runs, then I’d like to talk to you about some investment advice.
The Blue Jays had several examples of this point in 2017 as well, as we watched a team that was expected to contend for a playoff spot spend the entire year in last place in their division, save for the final day of the season.