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NCAA tournament Cinderella Power Rankings

SI senior writer Luke Winn and college basketball editor David Gardner dive deep and look at which lower seeded teams can advance.

Ranking the No. 11-or-higher seeds with the best odds of advancing—and identifying the 16 seed with the best shot at making history …

1. Northern Iowa (West No. 11, vs. Texas)

Northern Iowa’s entire body of work makes them the 71st-ranked team in efficiency on kenpom.com, while their first-round opponent, Texas, is ranked 41 spots higher. But there’s one big reason to have faith in the Panthers: Their performance against high-level competition has been remarkably good.