A couple days ago, the Washington Football Team's Antonio Gibson would have been a top sleeper. Now, Adrian Peterson is released and Gibson's ADP is rightfully soaring. Following an offseason with no preseason games, fantasy managers must, more than ever, adjust to breaking news and be like water on draft day—flowing between their personal valuations, expert rankings and opponent selections to find their way to value.
Your path should be mapped by expert consensus and your draft site's rankings, as those will give you a general sense of your opposing managers' likely picks. But drafts are unmitigated unpredictability and prepared managers couple their own player preferences with reasonable cheat sheets to gauge what value is falling and being scooped up.