If you're leading your division at this point of the Major League Baseball season, you should feel pretty good.
According to MLB.com, of the 144 division champions since 1996 (the first season with the wild card), 96 had at least a share of the division lead on July 1. That doesn't count the short 2020 season.
That also means one-third of division winners in the wild-card era weren't in first place to start July. We're a bit into July, but it's still a good time to see if there are any good longshot bets to win the six divisions, with odds from BetMGM:
AL Central and AL West: Don't bother
As stated, two-thirds of division winners come from the teams that have a share of the lead on July 1.