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Propellerhead blog FiveThrityEight came out with an article titled:

Spoiler, IT US.

Over the past two decades, Florida, Florida State, Notre Dame, Penn State and Texas have fallen from their preseason ranking by season’s end with greater frequency than every other program in the nation.

No real surprise here as voters always think Texas SHOULD be good (we should) but hasn’t been of late. The data is from 1997-2016. A lot of that data is the Mack Bama PTSD and the Charlie triage.

Also,

...that doesn’t mean all of those teams should be judged the same way.