It remains a delightfully maddening fact: Quarterback is the most important position of any team sport, but despite having all the data in the world available at this point, we're not really any better at projecting who will actually be particularly good at it in the pros.
Among the NFL's top 10 in Total QBR last season were three former No. 1 picks (Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, Kyler Murray), the third and fifth QBs taken in the 2018 draft (Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson), the fourth and fifth QBs taken in 2020 (Jordan Love and Jalen Hurts), the ninth QB taken in 2022 (Brock Purdy), a rookie (Jayden Daniels) and, well, Patrick Mahomes.