In this Longhorns football news and rumors bulletin, the Wall Street Journal made the UCLA Bruins' trip to AT&T Stadium in Arlington to face the Texas Longhorns on Saturday their "College Football Pick of the Week."
With UCLA favored by 7.5 points as of Thursday on most betting websites, WSJ's Prediction Machine has UCLA winning almost 70% of the time and covering the spread just in just under 60% of their simulations:
According to 50,000 games played by the Predictalator, UCLA wins on average 69% of the time and by an average score of 29-17. As 7.5 point favorites topping the Longhorns by double-digits on a neutral field, UCLA covers the spread 58.6% of the time, which would warrant a $65 wager from a normal $50 player. The Under (50) is also a decent play, covering 56.7%, enough to justify a $45 play from a normal $50 player. There are 11 stronger totals and three stronger against-the-spread picks on Saturday.
WSJ's Prediction Machine indicates (in their eyes) that the loss of QB David Ash will continue to cause struggles for the Longhorns, along with the fact that three of their projected starting offensive linemen are on the no-go list (two due to suspension and one due to injury).
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