Last year, we started adjusting our expectations for upcoming games each week based on how the Vols and their future opponents did the prior week. We're going to do that again this year, so I thought we'd go ahead and get started with a preseason baseline.
We use a 5-30 point scale to rank our relative certainty of the outcome of each game. Why a 5-30 point scale? It's a long story, but basically because it's infallible, inherently imperfect, and also a joke. But it does provide a framework that actually has some utility, too.