To forecast the 2023 NFL season, ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) simulates the season 20,000 times. That produces our projections, which are filled with probabilities, like the 14% chance the Eagles win the Super Bowl or the 43% chance the Lions win the NFC North.
But life happens only once.
So for today and today only, we're talking in certainties as we dive into the crystal ball of a single simulation -- simulation No. 3,818 -- to unveil the NFL season before it takes place. In a single sim, almost anything can happen.