College football data is entering a new age, my friends. Thanks to some hard work from collegefootballdata.com and my new online friend @903124, we have a reliable, useful, and pretty darn consistent measure of Expected Points Added (technical details here).
This is great news! Now, we can start to talk about plays in context, and fine tune a metrical evaluation and comparison of teams. First, I’ll explain EPA and highlight how it is informative. Then, I’ll look at some TCU performances in 2018 according to EPA, and in doing so, I’ll lay out an analytical framework for the upcoming season using EPA.