Choose your numbers carefully when evaluating what Chris Archer has become this season for the Tampa Bay Rays and what he could become in the future.
The bloated ERA (4.42) tells you he hasn't been nearly as good as he was the previous three seasons. He's also giving up more hits than he ever has (8.6 per nine innings), more home runs than he ever has (1.5 per nine innings) and the most walks since he was a rookie (3.5 per nine innings).
Win-loss records have less significance than they once did, but Archer's 5-14 mark isn't exactly an illusion.