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Who in the Atlantic would the Tampa Bay Lightning want to play in the first round?

It’s officially April and the Stanley Cup Playoffs are less than a month away. The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of four teams all-but confirmed to make it to round one in the Atlantic Division alongside the Florida Panthers, Toronto Maple Leafs, and Boston Bruins. Ignoring the Metro for a minute, of these three potential opponents, I’d like to know who the Lightning would like to face the most. They’re going to have to play one of them at the end of the day.

Regular Season Head-to-Head

I decided to pick the last four years of data in order to get at least seven games against the Leafs because of last year’s different divisions.