Perusing the web on yet another slow offseason in the NFL and I find this nugget on ESPN. Although the thoughts around K Roberto Aguayo have been kicked to proverbial death, I am always looking out for other aspects that might help bridge gaps for the acquisition as well as trading up for Aguayo.
ESPN has their own metric called Expected Points (EP) and Expected Points Added (EPA). Then they continue to break down these metrics, which includes an Special Teams EPA (STEPA). What they found about the Bucs' STEPA is quite stunning.
Expected Points (EP)
Based on statistical analysis of 10 years of NFL play-by-play data, ESPN has created a formula that assigns an "expected points" value to the team with the ball at the start of each play based on the game situation.