FiveThirtyEight: Saints have a 71% win probability over the Buccaneers

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports New Orleans Saints free safety Marcus Williams (43) celebrates as he intercepted the ball against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first half at Raymond James Stadium.There is some optimism for the Buccaneers as they head to New Orleans to face the Saints in this weekend’s divisional round playoffs. Despite the previous two meetings resulting in losses for Tampa Bay during the regular season, those that are optimistic feel their is a chance they pull off the inevitable upset.

But how big is that chance?

FiveThirtyEight’s Elo model — which has been predicting games based on formulas that take different variables into account like players (quarterbacks…