With the Detroit Lions on the board in the 2003 draft, analyst Jimmy Johnson, then with ESPN, made a case for Oregon quarterback Joey Harrington.
"They've got to go after the quarterback," he said. "Because if you don't have a winning quarterback, as I've said before, you're not going to win in the NFL."
The Lions took Harrington third overall, but they didn't find their winning quarterback. And it cost them dearly. They eventually cratered in 2008, becoming the first team since the 1976 Buccaneers to lose every game.
When selecting a quarterback at the top of the draft, it's a crapshoot.