Spring Training is well underway now for the St. Louis Cardinals, but the most interesting statistical development for the upcoming season was revealed at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference where Statcast revealed a new Hit Probability statistic. In their words, hit probability will tell us “based on the exit velocity and launch angle of the batted ball, how likely was the ball to land for a hit?”
This statistic will be expressed as a percentage, where 0% is never a hit and 100% is always a hit. You can use these probabilities to estimate batting average on contact, BABIP, SLG%, OPS-on-contact, and wOBA-on-contact.