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Skill vs. Luck

Baseball is random and weird. Take Max Muncy, who burst onto the scene after being released in 2017 to become one of the game’s best hitters. Or Erik Kratz, a longtime backup catcher who tallied five hits in the Brewers’ NLDS sweep over the Rockies despite failing to amass double-digit hit totals in the majority of his nine MLB seasons. Even entire teams can be subject to seemingly unexplainable fluctuation in performance. Since 2012, the Red Sox have alternated from worst in the AL East to first place and world champions the very next year, immediately followed by back-to-back dead last finishes and three straight division titles in the seasons directly after that.