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BenFred's 5: Baseball Prospectus swings and misses on Cardinals and Fowler

I'm a fan of Baseball Prospectus. The annual preseason book is a sacred bible for the dedicated baseball consumer. I learned from Post-Dispatch colleague Derrick Goold that it's very, very helpful to have a decade's worth of the editions stacked next to your writing desk, so you can grab one and flip to a page before searching every corner of the Internet when it's time to refresh the mind about a player. Plus, the PECOTA projections give us something to get fired up about as we wait for games that count. And I don't even mind the detours, the curveballs in the pages that occur when an entry is more of a riff than a rigid stats-based projection.