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MLB Makes Statcast Data Less Scary: Introduces Hit And Catch Probability Metrics

Major League Baseball has announced that its revered Statcast system will now generate Hit Probability and Catch Probability ratings for batted balls this season.

MLB plans to incorporate new Catch and Hit Probability metrics into its BaseballSavant.com searchable database, and to feature the content on MLB Network and MLB gameday broadcasts.

New Hit and Catch Probability Metrics are derived from data points that have been tracked by the Statcast system since its inception. Hit Probability will be determined by combining two variables — launch angle and exit velocity — while Catch Probability will examine the distance needed for a player make a catch along with the “opportunity time” from the release of the pitch to its ultimate landing spot.