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Rumours rated: Diego Costa to China? Memphis Depay to leave Man United?

How do you separate transfer fact from fiction? With the January transfer window now open, David Amoyal looks at some of the current rumours and predicts how likely it is that the proposed moves actually happen.

Diego Costa to Tianjin Quanjian in January: 15 percent

After signing Axel Witsel, the Chinese club has set their sights on the Chelsea striker. But unlike his former teammate Oscar, Diego Costa is an integral player in Conte's system, and his departure would have a significant impact on the title race. Tianjin Quanjian's owner, Shu Yuhui, also recently confirmed publicly that Chelsea won't let Costa leave until the summer (when it would be a lot easier for them to find a worthy replacement).