Expected Points Added (EPA) is a broken terrible metric. I will now wait here for Ben Baldwin to come swooping into this article to yell at me. Any second now.
Ah, there he is. Good morning! So like I was saying EPA is terrible metric... when looking at punters. Now, I’m not going to dive into some argument about how EPA ignores context of a play formation or some other thing. No, EPA is flawed for punters because it takes into account two things that are absolutely out of the control of the punt team:
- The decision to punt in the first place.