The 2019 NFL Draft is less than three weeks away, with teams gearing up to fill the holes in the roster and build depth which hoping to find a late round diamond in the rough. Last offseason I took a look at the distribution of career AVs for draft picks over a multi-decade period in order to attempt to understand what the realistic outcomes for draft picks should be. There is no doubt that while the Seattle Seahawks developed a reputation early in the tenure of Pete Carroll and John Schneider for identifying and developing stars in the later rounds, but is this actually the case?