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How likely is it that Eddie Lacy will reach his 1,200-yard bonus?

As expected, the Seattle Seahawks laced Eddie Lacy’s one-year contract with weight-based incentives, the first of which he earned on Monday when he came in under 255 lbs. Lacy “earned” $55,000 for that one, and he can accumulate a total of $385,000 if he manages to come in under weight for all seven weigh-in dates. However, Lacy can also earn a $1.3 million bonus if he rushes for 1,200 yards this season, a much more significant bump that would make all of those missed opportunities for “China Food” worth it.

But how likely is that?