PECOTA, among the first public baseball projection systems to grace the internet, is somewhat of a modern-day Ship of Theseus: still harbored at Baseball Prospectus, but sharing little to none of the original equations whirring within Nate Silver’s initial design. The system has proprietary functionality, as do ZiPS, Steamer, and most other public systems, yet BP’s primary projection system and Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS (via FanGraphs) are thus far the only two projection systems to which the general public has full access. PECOTA’s player projections are available to paid BP subscribers, so I won’t be spoiling the entirety of their work; however, their early unofficial standings highlight some interesting facets worth exploring.
What PECOTA tells us about the 2022 Mariners
