One way to forecast breakouts is to take a player’s peripherals and highlight the incongruence from their actual outcomes. Oftentimes, it’s that a hitter is hitting the crap out of the ball, but they haven’t begun to fall in. I’m not going to do that! I’m going to try and get a little ahead of a potential Abraham Toro breakout, because this could be the year that it happens. And depending on the rest of the Mariners’ offseason goes, they may need it.
I started writing this article two months ago, and clearly, it’s been on the back burner for a while now.