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Baseball Prospectus tabs SF Giants for 78 wins

The people at Baseball Prospectus deliver some of the most savvy, numbers-based analysis of major league baseball teams. When it comes to the 2025 San Francisco Giants, they’re not impressed.

In their season preview (paywalled), the team at BP has the Giants pegged for 77.9 wins. For you arts majors reading this, this also means they’re expecting roughly 84 losses. That’s not a winning season. Their overall conclusion is a simple one: The Giants weren’t great last year, and they didn’t make many moves in the offseason to improve.

Who does BP like?