A month ago, the only thing that could stop the San Francisco Giants from trading Madison Bumgarner was a horribly suppressed market. Two months ago, trading Bumgarner was a formality.
For evidence, I submit the guy who used to run this site, Grant Brisbee. Brisbee has a weekly column where he reviews the team’s week - one of the segments is a trade-o-meter for Bumgarner. On July 1, Brisbee gave the trade-o-meter a 9 out of 10 for likelihood of trading MadBum.
Earlier this week, that same Brisbee recorded a podcast with Giants beat reporter Andrew Baggarly, where they both stated that they don’t see any chance of Bumgarner being traded.