The hardest part about projecting the 2016 San Francisco 49ers—and part of the reason that you should take things like Football Outsiders’ early projection that the 49ers will finish with the second-worst record in the NFL with more helpings of salt that normal—is the fact that bringing in a new coach from outside the franchise, along with an entirely new offensive system, has a way to dramatically alter a team’s fortunes. We saw this in 2011 when Jim Harbaugh took over the rains from Mike Singletary and immediately took roughly the same roster from a 6-10 season to a 13-3 season.