San Diego Padres: Real Stats Versus Expected Stats

The offense of the San Diego Padres has been one of the worst in baseball through the first month of the season, however, are they over-performing?

As of Tuesday morning, the San Diego Padres are hitting .228 as a team. Only the Miami Marlins, Baltimore Orioles, and Colorado Rockies have put up a lower number than the Padres. If we take a look at Statcast’s expected stats, San Diego should be posting a .231 average, so they’re performing almost exactly as expected.

Unfortunately, most of the top hitters in the Padres’ lineup are greatly over-performing at the plate, according to their xBA. Keep in mind, xBA takes into account launch angle, velocity, and hit probability into consideration,…