According to Fangraphs, the Padres have a 0% chance to win the division.
Fair enough.
How about a wild card spot? Well, the team is currently 38-40. They’re sitting just 2.5 games back in said wild card race, and they’re doing that with the worst bullpen they’ve had since at least the turn of the Century. Below are the playoff odds for any NL team that’s not a division leader.
:format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/16502044/playoffs.jpg)
Regardless, help is undoubtedly on the way. 8.2% seems low for a team that at times looks like they can compete for the division next year.