Earlier this week, KenPom dropped their initial projection of all 358 Division I college basketball teams for the 2021-22 season. You can read more about how KenPom works here, but in short, it uses a combination of how efficient each team is at scoring and defending on a tempo-adjusted basis, throws all of this data into a statistical soup (a model, really), and the result is a pretty reasonable indicator of how well or poorly a particular team is expected to perform moving forward.
A reminder that, in the 2020-21 season, Rutgers finished ranked 38th nationally in KenPom (82nd in offensive efficiency, 16th in defensive efficiency).