Monday night's LSU vs. Clemson game was a classic analytics vs. eye test matchup. Power ratings said the game should have been closer to a pick’em and getting close to a touchdown with Clemson was a gift. The eye test said no one has stopped LSU all season.
You’re going to have to make a similar decision in this contest. The numbers say that Kansas City should coast into Super Bowl 54. The Chiefs are enjoying a +0.9 yards per play advantage over their opponents this season. Since Patrick Mahomes returned from his knee injury, Kansas City is 6-1-1 against the spread with wins by 31, 20, 10 and 20 at home.