Over the past weekend, we made a meaningful upgrade to our range of outcomes algorithm, which provides users with NBA DFS floor and ceiling projections. For each player, we have a 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentile projected outcome.
What does this mean? It's pretty similar to how Baseball Prospectus does their seasonal percentile forecasts: https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?mode=viewstat&stat=2. Let's use Karl-Anthony Towns as an example. Here are his projected percentile outcomes for 1-22-2019:
A 10th percentile projection of 34.8 FanDuel points means that we expect Karl-Anthony Towns to score that many points or fewer just 10 percent of the time.